Ghana fire research

Ghana Fire Observatory

A research programme connecting long-run fire observations, district analysis, open data and ongoing wildfire-susceptibility modelling

Programme overview

A national evidence base for understanding Ghana’s fire regime

The Ghana Fire Observatory brings together long-run burned-area records, active-fire observations, harmonized district reporting and agro-climatic context. It is designed to make differences between fire activity and fire impact visible, document data support honestly and connect analytical results to reusable public resources.

The programme supports district-scale fire-regime studies, comparison of MODIS and VIIRS observations and ongoing development of a national wildfire-susceptibility framework.

2001–2024
Full monthly panel period
260
Harmonised districts
5
Agro-climatic zones
30 m
Ongoing susceptibility-grid resolution

Why this research matters

Fire is not one uniform phenomenon

Ghana’s fire patterns vary through time, across ecological contexts and between districts. Satellite products also observe different aspects of fire. Treating those signals as equivalent can obscure meaningful variation.

Scientific need

Long, spatially consistent records are needed to examine seasonality, long-run change, district departures from broader zone patterns and the agreement or mismatch between fire activity and burned area.

Practical need

Transparent district evidence can support research, environmental monitoring and fire-management planning, provided users understand the limits of satellite observations and aggregated statistics.

Study area

Nested national, zone and district reporting

The programme uses 260 harmonised districts assigned to five agro-climatic zones by greatest spatial overlap. National summaries provide the broad view; zones provide ecological context; districts expose local heterogeneity.

Harmonised district distribution across Ghana’s five agro-climatic zones
Agro-climatic zoneCodeHarmonised districtsAnalytical role
Sudan SavannahSS20Northern dryland context
Guinea SavannahGS45Broad savannah fire context
TransitionTZ27Forest–savannah transition context
ForestFZ110Forest-zone context
CoastalCZ58Coastal and urbanising context
Total260National district framework

Evidence and status

What is published, released, under review and ongoing

Published

Forest-fire drivers in Mole National Park

A peer-reviewed geospatial study of fire records, burned area and potential climatic and anthropogenic drivers in Mole National Park.

Open the published article in a new tab
Published contribution

Regional assessment of wildfires in West Africa

A contributing paper to the Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2019, published by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction.

Open the UNDRR record in a new tab
Released dataset

Ghana monthly fire panels

District and agro-climatic-zone monthly datasets for 2001–2024, accompanied by audit, manifest and merge-integrity files.

Open the Figshare dataset in a new tab
Under review

District-scale MODIS–VIIRS mismatch study

The analysis is complete and the manuscript is under peer review. It is not counted as a publication, and its provisional numerical findings are not presented here as established evidence.

Ongoing

National 30 m wildfire-susceptibility framework

Current work is developing a leakage-aware, explainable and calibrated modelling framework with district and agro-climatic-zone reporting. Results will be published only after validation.

Planned output

Validated operational research products

Future outputs will focus on clear spatial reporting, reproducible release packages and communication suitable for research and planning contexts.

Principal observations

Different satellite products answer different questions

MODIS burned area

Monthly burned-area measures describe mapped fire impact: where the land surface was detected as burned and how much area was affected.

MODIS active fire

Thermal detections provide a longer-run activity signal and support comparison with burned-area observations.

VIIRS active fire

Higher-resolution thermal detections provide overlap-era activity information. They are analysed within their validated support window rather than backfilled with zeros.

Interpretation rule: burned area measures fire impact, while active-fire detections measure observed thermal activity. The products are related, but their raw values are not interchangeable and are not simply added together.

Research resources

Explore the programme

Responsible use

The Ghana Fire Observatory is a research and analytical resource. It is not an emergency-warning or incident-response service. For active emergencies, consult the relevant public authorities. Research outputs should be interpreted with the documented spatial, temporal and sensor limitations.